Rebuttal: I Don't Regret Spending 8 Years in the Crypto Industry

marsbit2025-12-11 tarihinde yayınlandı2025-12-11 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Ken Chang recently wrote an article lamenting his eight years in crypto as a waste, describing the industry as inherently destructive and a system of financial nihilism that has built the world's largest casino. While many in the space dismiss such critiques, the author acknowledges that Ken’s disillusionment—shared by earlier figures like Mike Hearn—stems from a genuine idealistic disappointment. Crypto promised decentralization and a new financial system but largely delivered speculation and gambling. The author identifies five core aspirations of cryptocurrency: restoring sound money, encoding business logic via smart contracts, making digital property real, improving capital market efficiency, and expanding global financial inclusion. While progress has been made in areas like Bitcoin, stablecoins, and certain efficient financial infrastructures, many grand visions—like overthrowing fiat or revolutionizing digital ownership—remain unfulfilled. The author advocates for a "pragmatic optimism." Speculation and casino-like dynamics are seen as unfortunate but inevitable side effects of building permissionless, open financial infrastructure. The key is to focus on the real, albeit gradual, progress—such as improved financial access and inclusion—while accepting that transformative change is slow and often captured by incremental efficiency gains, not revolution. The goal remains worthy, even if the path is messier than hoped.

Ken Chang recently published an article titled "I Wasted Eight Years of My Life in Cryptocurrency," in which he lamented the inherent capital destruction and financial nihilism of the industry.

People in the crypto space love to ridicule such "dramatic exit" articles and gleefully recount the stories of historical figures like Mike Hearn or Jeff Garzik who made high-profile departures (while never failing to point out how much Bitcoin has risen since they left).

But Ken's article is largely correct. He said:

Cryptocurrency claimed it would help decentralize the financial system, and I once believed it deeply. But the reality is, it is just a super system for speculation and gambling, essentially a replica of the current economy. Reality hit me like a truck: I wasn't building a new financial system; I built a casino. A casino that doesn't call itself a casino, yet it is the largest, 24/7, multiplayer online casino our generation has ever built.

Ken pointed out that VCs have burned tens of billions of dollars funding various new public chains, and we clearly don't need that many. This is true, although his description of the incentive model is slightly off (VCs are essentially conduits for capital—overall, they only do what their limited partners are willing to tolerate). Ken also criticized the proliferation of perpetual and spot DEXs, prediction markets, meme coin launch platforms, etc. Indeed, while you can defend these concepts on an abstract level (except for meme coin launch platforms, which are indefensible), it's undeniable that their proliferation is solely because the market incentivizes it, and VCs are willing to pay for it.

Ken said he entered the crypto space with idealistic aspirations and stars in his eyes. This is familiar to participants in this field: he had libertarian leanings. But in the end, he didn't practice libertarian ideals; instead, he built a casino. Specifically, he is best known for his work on Ribbon Finance, a protocol that allows users to deposit assets into vaults and earn yield by systematically selling options.

I don't want to sound too harsh, but it is what it is. If it were me, I would also engage in deep reflection. When the conflict between principles and work became unbearable, Ken reached his pessimistic conclusion: cryptocurrency is a casino, not a revolution.

What struck me deeply was that it reminded me of the article Mike Hearn wrote nearly a decade ago. Hearn wrote:

Why did Bitcoin fail? Because the community behind it failed. It was supposed to be a new type of decentralized currency, without "systemically important institutions," without "too big to fail," but it became something worse: a system entirely controlled by a few people. Worse yet, the network is on the verge of technical collapse. The mechanisms that were supposed to prevent this have failed, so there is little reason to believe Bitcoin can truly be better than the existing financial system.

The details differ, but the argument is consistent. Bitcoin/cryptocurrency was supposed to be one thing (decentralized, cypherpunk practice), but it turned into something else (a casino, centralized). Both agree: it ultimately did not prove better than the existing financial system.

Hearn and Ken's arguments can be summarized in one sentence: cryptocurrency initially had a purpose, but it ultimately went astray. So we have to ask: what is the purpose of cryptocurrency?


Five Goals of Cryptocurrency

In my view, there are roughly five camps, which are not mutually exclusive. Personally, I most identify with the first and fifth camps, but I have empathy for all. However, I am not dogmatic about any, not even the hardcore Bitcoin camp.

Restoring Sound Money

This was the original dream, shared by most (though not all) early Bitcoin players. The idea is that, over time, Bitcoin will pose a competitive threat to the monetary privileges of many sovereign states, possibly even replacing fiat currency and bringing us back to a new gold standard-like order. This camp typically views everything else in the crypto space as distractions and scams, merely riding Bitcoin's coattails. Needless to say, Bitcoin has made limited progress at the sovereign state level, but in just 15 years, it has come far enough as a significant monetary asset. Adherents of this view live in a constant state of disillusionment and hope, with near-delusional expectations that widespread Bitcoin adoption is just around the corner.

Encoding Business Logic with Smart Contracts

This view, championed by Vitalik Buterin and most of the Ethereum camp, posits: since we can digitize money, we can express various transactions and contracts in code, making the world more efficient and fair. To Bitcoin maximalists, this was once heresy. But it has found success in certain narrow areas, especially those easily expressed mathematically, like derivatives.

Making Digital Property Rights Real

This is my summary of the "Web3" or "read-write-own" philosophy. The idea is not without merit: digital property rights should be as real and reliable as physical property rights. However, its practices—NFTs, Web3 social—have either gone completely astray or, to put it politely, were born at the wrong time. Despite billions of dollars invested, few now defend this philosophy. But I still think there is something worth pondering. I believe many of our current internet dilemmas stem from not truly "owning" our online identities and spaces, nor having effective control over who we interact with and content distribution. I believe we will eventually regain sovereignty over our digital property, and blockchain will likely play a role. It's just that the timing isn't right yet.

Improving Capital Market Efficiency

This is the least ideological of the five goals. Not many get excited about securities settlement, COBOL, SWIFT, or wire transfer windows. But regardless, this is a real driving force behind a significant part of the crypto industry. The logic is: the Western financial system is built on an outdated tech stack, extremely difficult to upgrade due to path dependency (no one dares easily replace core infrastructure handling trillions in daily settlements), so it has long needed an update. This update must come from outside the system and adopt a completely new architecture. The value here is mostly in efficiency gains and potential consumer surplus, making it less exciting.

Expanding Global Financial Inclusion

Finally, there are passionate individuals who see cryptocurrency as an inclusive technology, providing low-cost financial infrastructure globally—for some, even their first access to financial services. This means enabling people to self-custody crypto assets (more commonly stablecoins now), access tokenized securities or money market funds, obtain credit cards issued based on crypto wallets or exchange accounts, and be treated equally on the financial internet. This is a very real phenomenon, and its superficial success offers solace to many disillusioned idealists.

Pragmatic Optimism

So, who is right? The idealists or the pessimists? Or is there a third possibility?

I could go on at length about how bubbles always accompany major technological changes, how bubbles actually catalyze the construction of useful infrastructure, and how cryptocurrency is especially speculative precisely because it is financial technology, but that would be somewhat self-consoling.

My real answer is: maintaining pragmatic optimism is the correct attitude. Whenever you despair over the crypto casino, you must hold onto this tightly. Speculation, mania, and capital extraction should be understood as inevitable yet unpleasant side effects of building useful infrastructure. It comes with real human costs, which I don't mean to downplay. The normalization of meme coins, pointless gambling, and financial nihilism among young people is particularly frustrating and socially unhelpful. But this is a (negative) side effect inevitably produced by building capital markets on permissionless rails. I see no other way; you just have to accept it as part of how blockchains operate. And you can choose not to participate.

The key is: cryptocurrency has its goals, and it's completely normal to harbor ideals about it. It is this purpose that motivates thousands of people to dedicate their careers to this industry.

It's just that it might not be as exciting as you imagined.

The world is unlikely to suddenly fully embrace Bitcoin. NFTs haven't revolutionized digital ownership. Capital markets are slowly moving on-chain. Besides the dollar, we haven't tokenized many assets. No authoritarian regime has fallen because ordinary people hold crypto wallets. Smart contracts are mainly used for derivatives, with little else. To date, the only applications with product-market fit are limited to Bitcoin, stablecoins, DEXs, and prediction markets. Yes, much of the value created may be captured by large companies or eventually returned to consumers in the form of efficiency gains and cost savings.

Therefore, the real challenge is to maintain an optimism rooted in realistic possibilities, rather than indulging in blind, optimistic fantasies. If you believe in a libertarian utopia, the gap between expectation and reality will eventually lead to disillusionment. As for the casino effect, unrestrained token issuance, and rampant speculation, these should be seen as ugly warts on the industry's underbelly—difficult to remove but objectively present. If you believe the costs brought by blockchain now outweigh its benefits, then choosing disillusionment is completely reasonable. But in my view, the current situation is actually better than ever. We have more evidence than ever before that we are on the right path.

Just remember that goal.

İlgili Sorular

QWhat are the five main goals or camps of cryptocurrency as outlined in the article?

AThe five main goals or camps are: 1. Restoring sound money. 2. Encoding business logic with smart contracts. 3. Making digital property rights real (Web3/read-write-own). 4. Improving capital market efficiency. 5. Expanding global financial inclusion.

QAccording to the author, what is the 'correct attitude' to have towards the cryptocurrency industry?

AThe author argues that the correct attitude is 'pragmatic optimism,' which involves accepting the speculative and often negative aspects (like the 'casino') as an unavoidable side effect of building useful infrastructure on a permissionless轨道, while staying focused on the original goals.

QWhat was the core disillusionment expressed by Ken Chang and Mike Hearn regarding cryptocurrency?

ABoth Ken Chang and Mike Hearn expressed that cryptocurrency, which was initially envisioned as a decentralized, revolutionary alternative to the traditional financial system (e.g., sound money, cypherpunk ideals), had instead become something worse: a centralized casino or a system that failed to be better than the existing financial establishment.

QWhat does the author identify as the 'truly product-market fit applications' in crypto so far?

AThe author states that the only applications that have achieved true product-market fit so far are Bitcoin, stablecoins, DEXs (decentralized exchanges), and prediction markets.

QHow does the author characterize the relationship between speculative frenzy and useful infrastructure in crypto?

AThe author characterizes the relationship by stating that speculative frenzy, bubbles, and capital allocation (even to negative things like meme coins) are an 'inevitable yet unpleasant side effect' of building useful infrastructure. This is presented as a consequence of building on a permissionless轨道 where there is no central authority to prevent it.

İlgili Okumalar

GitHub Empire on the Brink of Collapse: Source Code Leak, 18-Year Veteran Leaves, Microsoft Loses 1.5 Billion Developers

GitHub is facing an unprecedented crisis, marked by a massive exodus of developers and severe operational failures. The tipping point came when Mitchell Hashimoto, creator of Ghostty and an 18-year GitHub user, publicly severed ties, citing persistent platform outages that made serious work impossible. This departure highlights a broader pattern of user frustration. The platform's instability has drawn complaints from major corporate clients like Citibank and Intel, forcing Microsoft to issue substantial service credits. A critical incident last month saw an accidentally triggered, unreleased feature cause widespread repository rollbacks, erasing recent code changes and pushing enterprises to migrate. Security has catastrophically breached. In May 2026, hackers infiltrated over 3,800 of GitHub's internal repositories via a poisoned VS Code extension installed by a developer, leading to the attempted sale of core source code for $50,000. This follows the discovery of a critical zero-day vulnerability in March that threatened access to millions of repositories. Internally, GitHub's autonomy has collapsed. After the resignation of CEO Thomas Dohmke in mid-2025, Microsoft eliminated the CEO role, folding GitHub into its CoreAI division under the unpopular leadership of Jay Parikh. This triggered a talent drain, with key executives and engineers leaving. A disruptive migration of GitHub's infrastructure to Azure servers, pushed by CTO Vladimir Fedorov, is blamed for the recurring outages. Competitively, GitHub Copilot is under "existential threat" from superior AI coding tools like Cursor (now owned by SpaceX) and Claude Code, which offer more advanced contextual coding and automation. Ironically, Microsoft's own engineers reportedly preferred Claude Code, forcing management to revoke licenses. Financially, GitHub is a loss leader. Despite Copilot surpassing 4.7 million paid users and $3 billion in annual revenue, the AI inference costs for free services massively outstrip subscription income, hurting Microsoft's cloud margins. The recent shift from a flat fee to a pay-as-you-go model for Copilot has further alienated developers. The core question for Microsoft is whether a centralized code repository remains essential in the AI agent era. The erosion of trust, developer culture, and platform reliability threatens the very ecosystem Microsoft spent decades building.

marsbit1 saat önce

GitHub Empire on the Brink of Collapse: Source Code Leak, 18-Year Veteran Leaves, Microsoft Loses 1.5 Billion Developers

marsbit1 saat önce

SEC Promotes Tokenized Stocks, Is the Traditional Finance Industry Starting to Worry?

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is preparing to formally release an "innovation exemption" framework this week. This framework would allow third parties to tokenize U.S. stocks like Apple and Tesla without approval from the listed companies. The move, rooted in a deregulatory vision proposed by pro-crypto commissioners earlier this year, could accelerate the migration of traditional stock markets to blockchain. This development poses a structural threat of "fragmentation" to traditional finance. Core concerns are liquidity fragmentation—where trading volume disperses across multiple blockchains and platforms, leading to price disparities and reduced market efficiency—and revenue fragmentation—where trading fees and intermediary income shift away from domestic exchanges to overseas or competing platforms. The report compares the traditional stock market to a monopolistic "supermarket." Tokenization enables countless "street stalls" to operate outside this system, threatening the exchange's dominance, diluting liquidity for large orders, and slicing into revenue streams. Evidence of this capital fragmentation is already emerging. On the same day the SEC signaled the framework, decentralized platform Hyperliquid saw its RWA (real-world asset) open interest hit a record $2.6 billion, driven by demand for 24/7 on-chain trading of traditional assets. Traditional institutions face a dilemma: either collaborate to build tokenization infrastructure proactively or lobby regulators to block innovation. Regulators must balance controlling the pace of innovation with preventing domestic revenue from being captured by offshore platforms. Key future battles will revolve around defining shareholder rights for tokenized assets and regulating platforms that have grown in regulatory gray areas. In the digital asset era, inaction risks the permanent loss of long-held fee monopolies and financial leadership as capital continues to disperse.

marsbit1 saat önce

SEC Promotes Tokenized Stocks, Is the Traditional Finance Industry Starting to Worry?

marsbit1 saat önce

A Comprehensive Analysis of On-Chain Pre-IPO: Why is the Pricing Power of SpaceX and OpenAI Moving On-Chain?

This podcast episode explores the rise of on-chain pre-IPO price discovery and trading, focusing on companies like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. Key trends include the recent launch of a SpaceX pre-IPO perpetual contract on Hyperliquid, the secondary market trading of AI company shares, and a new partnership between Nasdaq Private Market and Polymarket. Dio Casares explains why AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic actively deny the legitimacy of secondary trades. Primary reasons are to protect their primary funding rounds (as secondary trades don't provide cash to the company) and to avoid complex legal and administrative responsibilities associated with settling these transactions. He argues that on-chain **derivatives** (like perpetuals) are a more viable solution than **tokenized spot markets**, as they better navigate U.S. regulatory holding period requirements, provide effective hedging, and avoid antagonizing the companies themselves by competing with their primary raises. The discussion covers the risks and methods of gaining pre-IPO exposure, from direct investments and SPVs to riskier, layered structures that can lead to legal complications and settlement issues. Casares also maps the landscape of key players, differentiating between traditional secondary brokers (like Forge, Hiive, and Setter) and on-chain derivatives protocols (like Trade.xyz/Ventuals on Hyperliquid) and tokenization platforms (often on Solana). He positions Patagon as a facilitator for access to private market deals but clarifies it avoids on-chain tokenization to maintain good relations with portfolio companies. Looking ahead, the convergence of a historic IPO pipeline (with potential trillion-dollar valuations), the 24/7 nature of crypto markets, and the strategic use of pre-market perpetuals as a "loss leader" suggest continued growth and competition in the on-chain pre-IPO space.

marsbit1 saat önce

A Comprehensive Analysis of On-Chain Pre-IPO: Why is the Pricing Power of SpaceX and OpenAI Moving On-Chain?

marsbit1 saat önce

Token Packages Are Here, Are Telecom Operators in a Hurry?

Major Chinese telecom operators are launching token-based AI computing packages, sparking public debate and highlighting a strategic shift amid slowing traditional revenue growth. In May, Shanghai Telecom introduced token plans (e.g., 9.9 RMB for 10 million tokens), quickly followed by nationwide offerings from China Telecom, China Mobile, and China Unicom. While priced higher than major AI firms like DeepSeek, these packages allow users to access multiple AI models via API using their phone bills, similar to purchasing universal mobile data. The move reflects operators' anxiety as traditional voice, SMS, and data services stagnate. With revenue growth hitting multi-year lows in 2025, AI and computing power represent a critical new frontier. However, current C端 offerings, such as AI photo editing or virtual pets, are seen as non-essential and highlight operators' role as "pipes" or integrators rather than creators of compelling AI products. Beyond consumer packages, operators aim to become key infrastructure players in China’s national computing power network. They position themselves as the "power grid" delivering AI算力, leveraging their vast network of base stations to ensure low-latency, reliable coverage, especially for applications like autonomous driving. This infrastructure role, coupled with unified national调度, could make算力 a ubiquitous utility, driving new consumption scenarios even if mass adoption of token packages remains uncertain.

marsbit2 saat önce

Token Packages Are Here, Are Telecom Operators in a Hurry?

marsbit2 saat önce

İşlemler

Spot
Futures

Popüler Makaleler

T Nasıl Satın Alınır

HTX.com’a hoş geldiniz! Threshold Network Token (T) satın alma işlemlerini basit ve kullanışlı bir hâle getirdik. Adım adım açıkladığımız rehberimizi takip ederek kripto yolculuğunuza başlayın. 1. Adım: HTX Hesabınızı OluşturunHTX'te ücretsiz bir hesap açmak için e-posta adresinizi veya telefon numaranızı kullanın. Sorunsuzca kaydolun ve tüm özelliklerin kilidini açın. Hesabımı Aç2. Adım: Kripto Satın Al Bölümüne Gidin ve Ödeme Yönteminizi SeçinKredi/Banka Kartı: Visa veya Mastercard'ınızı kullanarak anında Threshold Network Token (T) satın alın.Bakiye: Sorunsuz bir şekilde işlem yapmak için HTX hesap bakiyenizdeki fonları kullanın.Üçüncü Taraflar: Kullanımı kolaylaştırmak için Google Pay ve Apple Pay gibi popüler ödeme yöntemlerini ekledik.P2P: HTX'teki diğer kullanıcılarla doğrudan işlem yapın.Borsa Dışı (OTC): Yatırımcılar için kişiye özel hizmetler ve rekabetçi döviz kurları sunuyoruz.3. Adım: Threshold Network Token (T) Varlıklarınızı SaklayınThreshold Network Token (T) satın aldıktan sonra HTX hesabınızda saklayın. Alternatif olarak, blok zinciri transferi yoluyla başka bir yere gönderebilir veya diğer kripto para birimlerini takas etmek için kullanabilirsiniz.4. Adım: Threshold Network Token (T) Varlıklarınızla İşlem YapınHTX'in spot piyasasında Threshold Network Token (T) ile kolayca işlemler yapın.Hesabınıza erişin, işlem çiftinizi seçin, işlemlerinizi gerçekleştirin ve gerçek zamanlı olarak izleyin. Hem yeni başlayanlar hem de deneyimli yatırımcılar için kullanıcı dostu bir deneyim sunuyoruz.

430 Toplam GörüntülenmeYayınlanma 2024.12.10Güncellenme 2025.03.21

T Nasıl Satın Alınır

Tartışmalar

HTX Topluluğuna hoş geldiniz. Burada, en son platform gelişmeleri hakkında bilgi sahibi olabilir ve profesyonel piyasa görüşlerine erişebilirsiniz. Kullanıcıların T (T) fiyatı hakkındaki görüşleri aşağıda sunulmaktadır.

活动图片